Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#96
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#75
Pace65.4#219
Improvement-1.5#239

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#155
Improvement-3.3#307

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#65
Improvement+1.7#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.4% n/a n/a
First Round0.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 40   @ UCLA L 59-86 20%     0 - 1 -13.2 -10.3 -1.6
  Nov 13, 2012 277   Winthrop W 66-55 91%     1 - 1 +0.9 -2.8 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2012 245   @ Ball St. W 68-48 73%     2 - 1 +18.5 -0.4 +20.8
  Nov 25, 2012 220   High Point W 76-62 86%     3 - 1 +7.4 +11.9 -2.3
  Dec 01, 2012 16   New Mexico L 68-77 OT 29%     3 - 2 +1.6 -3.8 +6.1
  Dec 08, 2012 230   @ Morehead St. L 63-71 71%     3 - 3 -8.7 -10.3 +1.6
  Dec 15, 2012 332   @ IUPUI W 75-61 92%     4 - 3 +3.5 -10.1 +13.0
  Dec 22, 2012 32   Mississippi W 87-85 OT 26%     5 - 3 +13.7 +7.5 +6.0
  Dec 23, 2012 28   San Diego St. L 55-62 24%     5 - 4 +5.3 -7.1 +12.1
  Dec 25, 2012 12   Miami (FL) W 57-55 OT 17%     6 - 4 +17.2 -8.2 +25.4
  Dec 30, 2012 65   Illinois St. W 77-75 52%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +6.4 +3.9 +2.5
  Jan 02, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa W 65-61 28%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +15.0 -0.7 +15.7
  Jan 05, 2013 15   @ Creighton L 66-79 12%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +4.8 +5.6 -2.3
  Jan 09, 2013 159   Bradley W 68-53 77%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +12.3 -2.6 +15.7
  Jan 12, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois L 71-76 56%     9 - 6 3 - 2 -1.5 -7.3 +6.2
  Jan 16, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 68-60 82%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +3.2 +3.2 +1.3
  Jan 19, 2013 79   Evansville W 72-62 58%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +12.8 +9.9 +4.1
  Jan 23, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. L 58-60 28%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +8.9 -12.0 +21.0
  Jan 26, 2013 64   Northern Iowa W 59-58 52%     12 - 7 6 - 3 +5.5 +2.2 +3.5
  Jan 29, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. W 68-55 17%     13 - 7 7 - 3 +27.9 +13.1 +16.6
  Feb 02, 2013 118   @ Drake L 71-74 OT 44%     13 - 8 7 - 4 +3.5 -3.3 +6.8
  Feb 06, 2013 15   Creighton W 76-57 27%     14 - 8 8 - 4 +30.3 +12.9 +19.5
  Feb 09, 2013 161   Southern Illinois W 66-65 77%     15 - 8 9 - 4 -2.0 +0.5 -2.3
  Feb 12, 2013 197   @ Missouri St. L 65-67 63%     15 - 9 9 - 5 -0.4 -3.7 +3.2
  Feb 16, 2013 159   @ Bradley L 68-80 54%     15 - 10 9 - 6 -8.2 -7.1 -0.4
  Feb 19, 2013 34   Wichita St. L 62-66 37%     15 - 11 9 - 7 +4.4 -2.5 +6.6
  Feb 23, 2013 90   Iona W 65-64 61%     16 - 11 +3.0 -15.1 +18.1
  Feb 27, 2013 118   Drake L 56-67 68%     16 - 12 9 - 8 -11.0 -11.7 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2013 79   @ Evansville L 68-84 34%     16 - 13 9 - 9 -6.7 -4.1 -1.6
  Mar 08, 2013 79   Evansville W 51-50 46%     17 - 13 +7.0 -7.1 +14.3
  Mar 09, 2013 15   Creighton L 43-64 18%     17 - 14 -6.5 -18.8 +8.5
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 1.4% 1.4% 12.1 0.0 1.2 0.2 98.6 1.4%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4% 12.1 0.0 1.2 0.2 98.6 1.4%